Definition Of National Recession
Many other indicators of economic activity are also weak during a recession.
Definition of national recession. The national bureau s business cycle dating committee maintains a chronology of u s. In time the other rules of thumb were forgotten. The chronology identifies the dates of peaks and troughs that frame economic recessions and expansions. In a 1974 the new york times article commissioner of the bureau of labor statistics julius shiskin suggested several rules of thumb for defining a recession one of which was two consecutive quarters of negative gdp growth.
Some economists prefer a definition of a 1 5 2 percentage points rise in unemployment within 12 months. A recession is a measured decline in real national income sustained for at least two consecutive quarters where gdp is the commonest measure of national income. The nber defines a recession as a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy lasting more than a few months normally visible in real gdp real income employment. A recession can be defined as a sustained period of weak or negative growth in real gdp output that is accompanied by a significant rise in the unemployment rate.
The nber recession is a monthly concept that takes account of a number of monthly indicators such as employment personal income and industrial production as well as quarterly gdp growth. Instead nber defines a recession as a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy lasting more than a few months normally visible in real gdp real income employment industrial production and wholesale retail sales. Experts declare a recession when a nation s economy experiences negative gross domestic product gdp. The nber define s a recession as a significant decline in economic activity lasting more than a few months.
A recession is a significant decline in economic activity that lasts for months or even years. A recession is the period between a peak of economic activity and its subsequent trough or lowest point. A recession will cause several economic problems including falling living standards rising unemployment and price deflation and for this reason macro economic policy will target the avoidance of a recession as its main objective.